Nov 21, 2025|Ben Cash
UBS Warns of a 93% Recession Probability - Here’s Why Investors Are Turning to Gold IRAs Now
In a recent economic update, UBS issued a powerful warning: the probability of a U.S. recession has surged to 93%. This projection is driven by lagging industrial data, weakening consumer indicators, income pressures, and troubling employment trends. For many Americans, this raises one urgent question:
How do I protect my retirement savings if the markets turn?
Across the country, more investors are turning to Gold IRAs and physical precious metals to safeguard their long-term wealth. Here’s why this new UBS report is sparking fresh interest—and why gold historically performs when recession risks rise.
Why a 93% Recession Probability Matters for Retirement Savers
During past economic downturns, stocks and paper assets often experience sharp volatility, while tangible assets—especially physical gold—tend to hold or increase in value. UBS’ outlook reflects stress in the following areas:
- Industrial and manufacturing slowdowns
- Employment revisions showing weakening labor conditions
- Yield curve inversions - one of the strongest historical recession indicators
- Consumer and income data trending downward
When these signals align, markets usually respond quickly and dramatically. This is why many financial professionals consider gold a “crisis-responsive asset.”
Why Gold and Precious Metals Shine During Economic Uncertainty
Gold has served as a store of value for over 5,000 years, and it remains one of the most trusted hedges during volatile periods. When recession fears spike:
- Gold often rises as confidence in the stock market declines.
- When investors expect instability, they move toward tangible, non-correlated assets.
- Precious metals are not tied to corporate earnings or government policy.
- Their value isn’t dependent on quarterly reports or interest-rate decisions.
- Gold protects purchasing power.
- Unlike cash, gold historically maintains its value through inflation cycles.
Because of this, more Americans are choosing to diversify with a Gold IRA—a self-directed retirement account backed by physical precious metals.
How a Gold IRA Helps Protect Retirement Savings
A Gold IRA (or Precious Metals IRA) allows retirement savers to:
- Hold physical gold, silver, platinum, or palladium
- Reduce exposure to stock-market volatility
- Hedge against inflation, currency weakening, and recession risk
- Maintain control over the allocation and type of precious metals held
With UBS placing recession odds at 93%, wealth-preservation strategies like precious metals are becoming a top priority for forward-thinking investors.
How Heartland Capital Helps Investors Build a Stronger, Safer Retirement
At Heartland Capital, we specialize in guiding clients through the process of:
- Opening or rolling over a Gold IRA
- Selecting high-quality IRS-approved gold and silver
- Structuring portfolios designed for long-term protection
- Ensuring secure storage in top-tier depositories
- Providing ongoing support and education
Our mission is simple:
Help Americans protect their retirement savings before economic conditions change—not after.
Final Thoughts: The Time to Act Is Before the Recession Hits
With UBS signaling a 93% recession probability, waiting for the markets to react could mean missing the window to safeguard your retirement. Precious metals have historically performed strongest at the beginning of economic downturns.
If you’ve been considering gold as part of your retirement planning, this may be the most important moment to explore your options.
Get Your Free Gold IRA Guide + Up to $5,000 in Free Metals
Heartland Capital is offering a free Gold IRA Guide to help you understand how precious metals can protect your retirement—and how to get started quickly.
Claim your Free Gold IRA Guide here and secure your financial future today.